IntroducingPredictive Intelligencefor Helium

Hex-level forecasts with calibrated uncertainty. HIP impact simulations for deployers and governance. Purpose-built for Helium.

Launch Demo View Performance Metrics

+32%

22.8%

SMAPE

vs 33.9% baseline

Calibrated

94%

Coverage

prediction intervals

Flexible

1-4d

Horizon

forecast range

Proven

90d

Validated

CA IoT network

Live Demonstration

See Predictive Intelligence in Action

Real-time hex-level forecasting with calibrated uncertainty bounds

atlas.depin.xyzHelium Network • California Region

Live

💡 Click any hex to explore forecasts

Launch Full Demo

📡Real-time DataLive

🎯Forecast Accuracy94%

🔮Prediction Window1–4 Days

The $3,000 Problem

Every deployment decision. Every governance vote. Made blind to future outcomes.

🎯

Blind Deployments

Operators invest $3,000+ per hotspot based on current rewards, not future potential

$180M+ at risk

🗳️

Governance Guesswork

HIPs approved without quantified network-wide impact modeling

47 HIPs blind voted

💸

Capital Inefficiency

Resources flow to oversaturated areas while underserved regions remain dark

~40% misallocated

THE SOLUTION

IntroducingPredictive Intelligence

The missing forecasting layer for DePIN networks. Turn historical patterns into actionable predictions.

Flexible Forecasts

Query by hex, point coordinates, or area bounds

Governance Simulator

Model HIP impacts before implementation

Open Platform

SDK for any Solana DePIN to add forecasting

Query by H3 hex ID

Requires demo token • Rate limited

Live API

# Request

POST /api/v1/iot/forecast

Authorization: Bearer <token>

Content-Type: application/json

{
  "hex": "8828309769fffff",
  "horizon": 4
}

# Response

{
  "ok": true,
  "meta": {
    "model": "helium-iot-v1",
    "h3_res": 9,
    "elapsed_ms": 62,
    "units": "IOT tokens",
    "request_id": "req_9Yx3k..."
  },
  "predictions": [
    { "date": "2025-08-21", "expected": 0.026, "p5": 0.015, "p95": 0.044 },
    { "date": "2025-08-22", "expected": 0.024, "p5": 0.014, "p95": 0.041 },
    { "date": "2025-08-23", "expected": 0.023, "p5": 0.013, "p95": 0.040 },
    { "date": "2025-08-24", "expected": 0.022, "p5": 0.012, "p95": 0.038 }
  ]
}

Dates are UTC • expected is the median • p5/p95 are calibrated 95% intervals

Query by coordinates + k-ring

Requires demo token • Rate limited

Live API

# Request

POST /api/v1/iot/forecast

Authorization: Bearer <token>

Content-Type: application/json

{
  "lat": 37.7793,
  "lon": -122.4193,
  "res": 9,
  "k": 1,
  "horizon": 4
}

# Response

{
  "ok": true,
  "meta": {
    "model": "helium-iot-v1",
    "h3_res": 9,
    "center_hex": "8828309769fffff",
    "hex_count": 7,
    "elapsed_ms": 68,
    "units": "IOT tokens",
    "request_id": "req_2Qf1p..."
  },
  "predictions": [
    { "date": "2025-08-21", "expected": 0.026, "p5": 0.015, "p95": 0.044 },
    { "date": "2025-08-22", "expected": 0.024, "p5": 0.014, "p95": 0.041 },
    { "date": "2025-08-23", "expected": 0.023, "p5": 0.013, "p95": 0.040 },
    { "date": "2025-08-24", "expected": 0.022, "p5": 0.012, "p95": 0.038 }
  ]
}

Dates are UTC • expected is the median • p5/p95 are calibrated 95% intervals

Query by bounding box (minLon, minLat, maxLon, maxLat)

Requires demo token • Rate limited

Live API

# Request

POST /api/v1/iot/forecast

Authorization: Bearer <token>

Content-Type: application/json

{
  "bbox": [-122.55, 37.70, -122.35, 37.84],
  "res": 9,
  "horizon": 4,
  "aggregate": true
}

# Response

{
  "ok": true,
  "meta": {
    "bbox": [-122.55, 37.70, -122.35, 37.84],
    "hex_count": 284,
    "aggregate": true,
    "elapsed_ms": 142,
    "units": "IOT tokens",
    "request_id": "req_B7a9r..."
  },
  "predictions": [
    { "date": "2025-08-21", "expected_total": 7.384, "expected_per_hex": 0.026, "p5": 4.260, "p95": 12.496 },
    { "date": "2025-08-22", "expected_total": 7.201, "expected_per_hex": 0.025, "p5": 4.050, "p95": 12.110 },
    { "date": "2025-08-23", "expected_total": 6.987, "expected_per_hex": 0.025, "p5": 3.920, "p95": 11.702 },
    { "date": "2025-08-24", "expected_total": 6.812, "expected_per_hex": 0.024, "p5": 3.740, "p95": 11.324 }
  ]
}

# Error Response

{
  "ok": false,
  "error": {
    "code": "INVALID_ARGUMENT",
    "message": "bbox must be [minLon, minLat, maxLon, maxLat]",
    "field": "bbox"
  },
  "request_id": "req_XXXX"
}

Dates are UTC • expected is the median • p5/p95 are calibrated 95% intervals

PROVEN RESULTS

90 Days of Production Validation

California IoT network proof-of-concept demonstrates enterprise-grade accuracy

Forecast AccuracySMAPE ↓

Day 1

22.8%↓32%

Baseline: 33.9%

Day 2

23.1%

Day 3

24.8%

Day 4

28.6%

Prediction Intervals 95% confidence

94%

Calibrated

93%

Calibrated

89%

Good

81%

Expected

All metrics computed on strict time-split validation with no location data leakage

HELIUM DELIVERABLES

Built for Helium, Open by Design

Purpose-built for Helium. Open so explorers, wallets, and deployers can integrate, audit, and self-host.

1
Stage
Helium Data
Direct-to-chain ETL + features
2
Stage
H3 r8 Feature Store
Rewards, density, demand signals
3
Stage
Forecasting
1–4 day forecasts with intervals
4
Stage
HIP Simulator
Model policy impacts pre-vote
5
Stage
API & Explorer
Public endpoints & map UI

1
Stage
Helium Data
Direct-to-chain ETL + features
2
Stage
H3 r8 Feature Store
Rewards, density, demand signals
3
Stage
Forecasting
1–4 day forecasts with intervals
4
Stage
HIP Simulator
Model policy impacts pre-vote
5
Stage
API & Explorer
Public endpoints & map UI

Core Technology

@depin-atlas/forecasting-engine

Forecasting Engine

Hex-level daily predictions with calibrated uncertainty (5–95% intervals).

22.8% SMAPE (CA IoT)
1–4 day horizon
~94% PI coverage

@depin-atlas/hip-simulator

HIP Simulator

Model policy changes before voting (PoC/Data splits, density scalars).

Scenario export
Leak-safe backtesting
Governance-ready

@depin-atlas/api-explorer

API & Explorer

Rate-limited public endpoints and React map UI for exploration.

OpenAPI + TS/Py clients
Hex/point/area queries
Maps, charts, controls

Built on open SDKs (adapter-sdk, forecasting-sdk, ui-kit) so Helium explorers, wallets, and deployers can integrate, audit, and self-host. Grant funds are used exclusively for Helium deliverables.

Ready to Shape theFuture of DePINs?

Experience the first predictive intelligence platform for decentralized infrastructure

Launch Demo View Source Code

Full technical documentation and API specifications available for grant reviewers

IntroducingPredictive Intelligencefor Helium

See Predictive Intelligence in Action

The $3,000 Problem

Blind Deployments

Governance Guesswork

Capital Inefficiency

IntroducingPredictive Intelligence

Flexible Forecasts

Governance Simulator

Open Platform

90 Days of Production Validation

Forecast AccuracySMAPE ↓

Prediction Intervals 95% confidence

Built for Helium, Open by Design

Helium Data

H3 r8 Feature Store

Forecasting

HIP Simulator

API & Explorer

Helium Data

H3 r8 Feature Store

Forecasting

HIP Simulator

API & Explorer

Forecasting Engine

HIP Simulator

API & Explorer

Ready to Shape theFuture of DePINs?